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Home » Lewis Hamilton predicts Mercedes reliability woes: “Sooner or later they’ll take a penalty”

Lewis Hamilton predicts Mercedes reliability woes: “Sooner or later they’ll take a penalty”. Lewis Hamilton expects Mercedes to pay the price for reliability struggles.

Charles Leclerc, Lewis Hamilton (Ferrari), George Russell (Mercedes W17), 2026 F1

Mercedes’ reliability concerns could become a decisive factor in the Formula 1 championship battle, and Lewis Hamilton believes they may eventually force the Brackley-based team into taking grid penalties.

The Ferrari driver made it clear that he is looking at the bigger picture as the title fight continues to develop, suggesting that reliability could prove just as important as outright pace over the remainder of the season.

Lewis Hamilton looks at the long-term championship battle

“We have lost 75 points because of reliability,” Mercedes team principal Toto Wolff recently admitted, underlining that Mercedes’ biggest opponent at the moment is Mercedes itself.

The power unit developed by the Brackley squad has suffered several issues this season, many of them linked to the battery system. Those problems appeared to have been addressed by the upgrade introduced at the Austrian Grand Prix, but the British Grand Prix brought fresh disappointment.

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At Silverstone, Andrea Kimi Antonelli looked capable of fighting for victory before another technical failure—this time unrelated to the power unit—ended his race prematurely. It marked the young Italian’s second retirement in the last three Grands Prix caused by reliability problems.

Ferrari could benefit from Mercedes’ reliability issues

Mercedes’ fragile reliability record could create valuable opportunities for Ferrari in both championship battles as the season progresses.

Speaking during the post-race press conference, Lewis Hamilton praised Ferrari’s recent progress while also pointing to the reliability difficulties affecting several manufacturers this year.

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“I’ve been really impressed with our progress in race execution,” Lewis Hamilton said. “In general, this year the engines have been experiencing more problems than usual. I don’t know the specific situation regarding the batteries for George Russell and Andrea Kimi Antonelli, but I imagine that sooner or later they’ll have to take a penalty, because we’re only allowed two of them.”

Lewis Hamilton also stressed that Ferrari must continue to capitalize on every opportunity, regardless of whether victory is achievable on a given weekend: “It will be crucial to maintain this level, maximize the points, and always give everything, even when it’s not possible to win,” the seven-time Formula 1 world champion added.

As the championship enters its decisive phase, consistency and reliability may ultimately prove just as valuable as outright performance. If Mercedes continues to struggle with technical issues, Ferrari could find itself in an increasingly strong position to close the gap in both title races.

Jul 9, 2026David Carter
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David Carter

David Carter is a ScuderiaFans editorial byline for race-weekend analysis, strategy and Ferrari performance. His coverage examines the decisions and developments that shape each Grand Prix.

2 months ago Lewis Hamilton, News2026 Formula 1 season, Lewis Hamilton, Mercedes, Scuderia Ferrari90
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