Are the escalating tensions between Iran and Israel, following the recent missile strike in Qatar, putting Formula 1 at serious risk?
The Middle East, three years later, finds itself in a similar situation: different players, same tensions. The ongoing conflict between Iran and Israel could once again threaten Formula 1’s presence in the region.
In 2022, a missile strike launched by Houthi rebels targeted Aramco facilities in Jeddah, just 20 km from the track. Despite fears, there was no damage near the circuit, and the Saudi Arabian Grand Prix went ahead as scheduled.
This time, the pattern is repeating. On the evening of June 24, Iran responded to the U.S. involvement in the conflict against Israel by attacking American military bases in Qatar. The missiles struck the al Udeid base near Doha, just 35 km from the Lusail Circuit where F1 races.
Iran also threatened a second strike on another base located in the Al Dhafra region, south of Abu Dhabi, only 32 km from the Yas Marina Circuit.
Formula 1 in Qatar and Abu Dhabi: what happens if the conflict escalates?
Just like in Jeddah, Formula 1 is not expected to be stopped in Qatar or Abu Dhabi. However, if the 12-hour ceasefire announced by U.S. President Donald Trump is broken and the conflict escalates, the motorsport world may be forced to adapt. There are two options: rescheduling the final two races of the season or cancelling them to avoid further risk.
Logistics could also be heavily impacted. If airspace is closed, aircraft won’t be able to travel to the region, which could compromise the entire race weekend.
It’s important to note that the Qatar and Abu Dhabi Grands Prix are scheduled for November and December, leaving time for the situation to evolve. Ideally, a lasting ceasefire and an end to the Iran-Israel conflict will come before then.
Not just Qatar and Abu Dhabi: the Azerbaijan Grand Prix also at risk
The war between Iran and Israel is reshaping geopolitical and economic relationships in the Middle East. Among the countries most exposed to possible escalation is Azerbaijan, which borders Iran.
The Azerbaijan Grand Prix in Baku is scheduled for September and appears earlier on the 2025 Formula 1 calendar compared to Qatar and Abu Dhabi. Azerbaijan plays a complex and delicate role geopolitically. The country currently declares neutrality and has stated it will not be involved in the conflict. Armenia has even reopened its borders to allow those fleeing Iran, including Italians, to enter.
So, is Formula 1 really at risk?
Military bases in Qatar had been expecting the missile strike. Staff were informed in advance and evacuated the premises before the Iranian attack. No injuries or casualties were reported. The strike was largely seen as a warning from the Islamic Republic.
Following the missile strike in Qatar, Formula 1 is not currently in danger. However, if the conflict were to escalate further and involve other Middle Eastern regions, the FIA and FOM may consider cancelling or relocating the races. This would cause major transportation and logistical issues.
The hope remains for a swift end to the war. As for now, Formula 1’s fate rests in the hands of global powers.
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