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Home » Why rival team boss thinks Ferrari might not win the 2026 season opener in Australia

Why rival team boss thinks Ferrari might not win the 2026 season opener in Australia. James Vowles praises Ferrari’s innovation during F1 pre-season testing in Bahrain.

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James Vowles has praised the work carried out by Ferrari during the 2026 Formula 1 pre-season testing in Bahrain, but he has also urged caution regarding expectations for the season opener in Melbourne.

Throughout the Bahrain test sessions, Ferrari impressed many figures inside the paddock. The Scuderia introduced a rear wing solution that had never been seen before, quickly becoming one of the most closely observed technical elements of the entire test. The innovative concept drew attention from rival teams, engineers and analysts alike, underlining Ferrari’s aggressive approach at the start of this new regulatory cycle.

Several teams admitted that they had considered introducing a similar specification, but ultimately decided against it due to uncertainty over the real competitive advantage it might deliver. Among those commenting on Ferrari’s bold choice was James Vowles, who shared his perspective on the development introduced by the Maranello-based team.

The Williams team principal also addressed the broader engine situation, pointing out that Bahrain testing is traditionally a phase where teams conceal their true performance levels. According to James Vowles, it is logical to assume that everyone held something back during the pre-season sessions, making it difficult to draw definitive conclusions from lap times alone. Nevertheless, he has little doubt about which teams are likely to be fighting at the front.

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The British engineer believes that Red Bull, Mercedes, Ferrari and McLaren remain the four top teams that will continue to stand out even in this new era of Formula 1. His specific praise, however, was directed at the Italian outfit: “Ferrari, congratulations to them, really. They have brought great innovations and they are pushing forward. I believe they are competitive as they are,” he told F1 TV.

At the same time, James Vowles emphasized that there are ongoing “mind games” between the teams, as most competitors managed to hide their true pace rather effectively during testing. The real competitive order, he suggested, will only become clear in Melbourne, when the first race of the 2026 Formula 1 season takes place under genuine competitive conditions.

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The Williams boss expects a championship in which nothing can be taken for granted, highlighting a key variable that could shape the season. Everything, in his view, will depend on “circuit by circuit, based on the characteristics of the power units and the cars.” This suggests that performance swings could occur depending on track layout, energy demands and aerodynamic efficiency, making consistency a crucial factor in the title fight.

Although James Vowles sees Ferrari as a potential title contender this year, he also calls for calm and measured expectations. “Even if Ferrari could win a race today, it doesn’t mean they will win in Melbourne.”

His message is clear: while Ferrari’s technical innovation and competitiveness in Bahrain testing are undeniable, translating that promise into immediate victory at the Australian Grand Prix is far from guaranteed. In a season shaped by new regulations, evolving power unit dynamics and strategic uncertainty, early impressions may not tell the full story.

Feb 23, 2026Alex Marino
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Alex Marino

Alex Marino is a ScuderiaFans editorial byline focused on breaking Ferrari news, official team updates and major Formula 1 developments. Articles published under this byline are reviewed for clarity and factual accuracy.

8 months ago 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix, News, Other teams2026 Formula 1 season, Australian GP, Scuderia Ferrari, Williams295
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