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Home » Singapore GP qualifying analysis: Ferrari’s missed pole chance revealed by sector times

Singapore GP qualifying analysis: Ferrari’s missed pole chance revealed by sector times

Lewis Hamilton, Ferrari SF-26, Halo, 2026 F1

Max Verstappen secured pole position for the 2026 Singapore Grand Prix by just 0.054 seconds over Charles Leclerc, with Lewis Hamilton third and Kimi Antonelli fourth. The Singapore GP qualifying sector analysis reveals exactly where the decisive time was gained and lost, including a remarkable detail for Ferrari: Lewis Hamilton’s theoretical best lap in Q3 was 0.026 seconds faster than the pole time, even though the British driver ultimately qualified 0.123 seconds behind Max Verstappen.

Ferrari therefore came extremely close to taking pole position at Marina Bay. Charles Leclerc produced an impressive final attempt to secure a front-row start, while Lewis Hamilton topped both Q1 and Q2 before struggling to combine his strongest sectors in Q3. The first four drivers were separated by only 0.189 seconds, underlining how closely matched the leading contenders were on a circuit where track evolution played a major role throughout qualifying.

Singapore GP qualifying conditions: Dry asphalt after a wet Sprint

Qualifying for the Singapore Grand Prix began half an hour later than scheduled. At 21:23, race control reported slippery asphalt in mini-sector 13. Earlier in the afternoon, the Sprint had taken place on a wet track, with the start delayed because of standing water at Turns 2 and 3. Every driver used intermediate tyres during that race.

There was no rain during Grand Prix qualifying, however, and conditions remained stable throughout the session. Air temperature was 29.8°C, humidity stood at 75%, and track temperature ranged from 39.7°C to 40.1°C across all three qualifying segments.

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Those asphalt temperatures were approximately three degrees lower than during Friday’s Sprint Qualifying, when the track was around 43°C. Every timed qualifying lap was completed on the Soft compound.

With temperatures remaining largely unchanged, track evolution became the decisive variable, just as Pirelli had anticipated when predicting substantial improvements in grip.

The fastest lap improved from Lewis Hamilton’s 1:32.429 in Q1 to 1:31.529 in Q2, before Max Verstappen established the overall benchmark of 1:31.373 in Q3.

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That represented an improvement of 1.056 seconds across the three sessions, including 0.900 seconds between Q1 and Q2 alone. Drivers who completed their attempts early in Q1 were therefore running on a considerably slower track than those who benefited from the later improvements in grip.

Q1: Lewis Hamilton fastest as Fernando Alonso misses out by 0.054s

Lewis Hamilton dominated the opening qualifying segment with a lap of 1:32.429, finishing 0.345 seconds ahead of Charles Leclerc and 0.346 seconds clear of Lando Norris.

Max Verstappen was only eighth, 0.812 seconds behind Lewis Hamilton, after completing a single flying lap on a previously used set of Soft tyres. Nevertheless, the Red Bull driver’s time was sufficient to progress, with the main battle taking place around the elimination threshold.

Gabriel Bortoleto advanced with a 1:34.169, while Fernando Alonso missed the cut by just 0.054 seconds.

Joining Fernando Alonso among the eliminated drivers were Alexander Albon, Lance Stroll, Sergio Pérez and Valtteri Bottas. Isack Hadjar failed to set a time because of a gearbox problem, which followed a power-unit replacement after the driver’s retirement from the Sprint.

At the beginning of Q1, a double yellow flag between Turns 11 and 13 resulted in the deletion of laps recorded by Sergio Pérez, Alexander Albon, Carlos Sainz and Lando Norris.

One of the most significant incidents involved Kimi Antonelli. The Mercedes driver’s 1:32.818 was deleted for exceeding track limits at Turn 2. That lap would have placed Kimi Antonelli fourth, but the remaining 1:33.601 left the Italian only 12th.

Track limits have repeatedly proved challenging for Kimi Antonelli, and once again the margins at the edge of the circuit had a substantial effect on the driver’s qualifying performance.

Arvid Lindblad also had two laps deleted, one at Turn 5 and another at Turn 11, but still managed to progress to Q2.

Q2: Max Verstappen closes in as Ferrari maintains the lead

Lewis Hamilton remained fastest in Q2, improving to 1:31.529. Max Verstappen moved much closer on the second flying lap, finishing just 0.110 seconds behind after an initial attempt of 1:32.292.

Compared with Q1, when Max Verstappen had been eighth, the Red Bull driver improved by 1.602 seconds, the largest improvement recorded by anyone on the grid.

Lewis Hamilton, who had already led Q1, found another 0.900 seconds and retained first position.

Lando Norris finished third, 0.366 seconds behind Lewis Hamilton, while Charles Leclerc took fourth, 0.424 seconds off the pace.

Nico Hülkenberg narrowly missed Q3, finishing 11th with a 1:32.784, which was 0.182 seconds slower than Pierre Gasly’s time.

Franco Colapinto was the only driver whose fastest Q2 lap was slower than the best Q1 effort. The Argentine went from 1:33.261 in Q1 to 1:33.787 in Q2 after having a lap deleted for exceeding track limits at Turn 11. That drop in performance saw Franco Colapinto fall from ninth in Q1 to 16th in Q2.

Oliver Bearman, Esteban Ocon, Carlos Sainz and Gabriel Bortoleto were also eliminated.

Q3: Max Verstappen secures Singapore pole on the first attempt

Max Verstappen established the decisive pole-position time just three and a half minutes into Q3, completing a 1:31.373 on the first set of new Soft tyres.

The Red Bull driver completed only 15 laps in total during qualifying, compared with 25 each for Charles Leclerc and Lewis Hamilton.

His progression through the session was remarkably effective: eighth in Q1, second in Q2 and first in Q3.

Max Verstappen’s second Q3 attempt was a 1:31.625, which was 0.252 seconds slower than the first. Pole position had already been secured.

Four drivers improved on their final attempts. Charles Leclerc made the largest significant gain among the front-runners, finding 0.234 seconds to record a 1:31.427 and finish just 0.054 seconds away from pole.

Oscar Piastri and Pierre Gasly also improved, as did Liam Lawson, although the latter found only 0.003 seconds.

Lewis Hamilton, despite leading Q1 and Q2, improved by just 0.033 seconds compared with his Q2 benchmark. On the second Q3 attempt, the Ferrari driver was 0.152 seconds slower than on the first.

Neither Mercedes driver completed a second flying lap in Q3.

Singapore GP qualifying results: The top ten and their gaps

Max Verstappen will start from pole position ahead of Charles Leclerc, Lewis Hamilton and Kimi Antonelli, with the first four separated by only 0.189 seconds.

The Q3 classification and gaps to pole position were as follows:

  1. Max Verstappen – 1:31.373
  2. Charles Leclerc – +0.054s
  3. Lewis Hamilton – +0.123s
  4. Kimi Antonelli – +0.189s
  5. Lando Norris – +0.339s
  6. George Russell – +0.374s
  7. Oscar Piastri – +0.487s
  8. Pierre Gasly – +0.852s
  9. Liam Lawson – +0.996s
  10. Arvid Lindblad – +1.408s

There was a particularly noticeable gap between Oscar Piastri and Pierre Gasly, with 0.365 seconds separating seventh and eighth.

George Russell will nevertheless start from the back of the grid because of a power-unit penalty, despite recording the sixth-fastest qualifying time.

Singapore GP qualifying sector analysis: Where Max Verstappen beat Ferrari

The comparison between Max Verstappen and Lewis Hamilton provides a clearer explanation of pole position than the final classification alone.

Lewis Hamilton qualified third, 0.123 seconds behind Max Verstappen, but the sector differences reveal two very different performance profiles.

Max Verstappen gained 0.271 seconds in the first sector, lost 0.273 seconds to Lewis Hamilton in the second and recovered another 0.125 seconds in the final sector.

This closely resembled the pattern observed during Sprint Qualifying, with Red Bull gaining its advantage in the opening and closing sectors while Ferrari performed particularly strongly through the middle of the lap.

In Sector 1, the decisive difference appeared between Turns 3 and 5, over a distance of approximately 400 metres. Max Verstappen gained around three tenths on Lewis Hamilton through this section alone.

The Ferrari driver recovered that deficit in Sector 2, recording the fastest middle-sector time of Q3 with a 38.258.

Max Verstappen then regained 0.125 seconds in the final sector, where Lewis Hamilton suffered understeer at the last corner.

The contrast is especially interesting given the different traction and straight-line speed demands of Marina Bay. The circuit’s mixture of technical corners and acceleration zones creates opportunities for cars with different performance characteristics to gain time in different parts of the lap.

Lewis Hamilton’s theoretical best lap was 0.026s faster than pole

The theoretical lap-time comparison changes the interpretation of Ferrari’s qualifying performance.

Adding together Lewis Hamilton’s three fastest individual sectors from Q3 produces a theoretical lap of 1:31.347, which is 0.026 seconds faster than Max Verstappen’s pole-winning 1:31.373.

Lewis Hamilton’s fastest first sector, a 27.124, came on the second Q3 attempt. However, during that lap, the Ferrari driver lost 0.157 seconds in the second sector and 0.144 seconds in the third compared with the strongest individual sector times.

Max Verstappen, Charles Leclerc and Kimi Antonelli, by contrast, combined their best individual sector performances into their fastest completed laps.

For Lewis Hamilton, the problem was not a lack of outright pace but the inability to bring all three sectors together in one clean attempt.

The distinction between an actual qualifying lap and a theoretical best lap is important. A theoretical time combines sectors from different attempts and does not represent a completed lap. Nevertheless, it provides a useful indication of the performance available across a session.

Readers can explore these differences through the F1 qualifying pace and sector comparison, which examines qualifying progression, individual sectors and theoretical lap times.

Ferrari, Mercedes and McLaren: How the leading teams compared

Looking at the fastest Q3 laps across the four leading teams, Red Bull’s only sector deficit came in the middle part of the circuit.

Max Verstappen was 0.130 seconds slower than Ferrari in Sector 2, 0.079 seconds slower than Mercedes and 0.060 seconds behind McLaren.

Charles Leclerc finished just 0.054 seconds away from pole, losing 0.023 seconds in the first sector and 0.161 seconds in the third.

Kimi Antonelli lost 0.154 seconds in the first sector and 0.114 seconds in the third, while Lando Norris conceded 0.191 and 0.208 seconds respectively.

Those opening and closing sectors were therefore decisive for Max Verstappen, while McLaren’s best qualifying lap finished 0.339 seconds behind pole.

Charles Leclerc reverses Ferrari qualifying battle in Q3

Lewis Hamilton had the advantage over Charles Leclerc during the first two qualifying segments.

The British driver was 0.345 seconds quicker than the Monegasque in Q1 and extended that advantage to 0.424 seconds in Q2.

However, Charles Leclerc reversed the order in Q3, finishing 0.069 seconds ahead of Lewis Hamilton to secure second position on the grid.

After Q2, Charles Leclerc had complained that the Ferrari was pulling under braking, making the subsequent improvement particularly impressive.

Between Q2 and Q3, Charles Leclerc found 0.526 seconds, the largest improvement among the ten drivers who reached the final qualifying segment.

Lewis Hamilton, meanwhile, left 0.149 seconds between the fastest actual lap and the theoretical best Q3 combination, while Charles Leclerc extracted the full potential of the quickest individual sectors recorded.

The result highlights the difference between consistent speed across qualifying and delivering the strongest possible lap at the decisive moment.

Kimi Antonelli beats George Russell throughout qualifying

At Mercedes, Kimi Antonelli finished ahead of George Russell in all three qualifying segments, with the advantage ranging from 0.016 to 0.185 seconds.

The largest gap between the Mercedes drivers came in Q3.

That represented a reversal of Sprint Qualifying, when George Russell finished second and Kimi Antonelli seventh.

However, George Russell entered Grand Prix qualifying with a repaired car following the accident during the Sprint.

Despite those circumstances, George Russell recorded the second-fastest third sector in Q3, demonstrating that the Mercedes still possessed considerable pace in the final part of the circuit.

Lando Norris leads Oscar Piastri as McLaren struggles in two sectors

Lando Norris finished ahead of Oscar Piastri in all three qualifying segments, with advantages of 0.301 seconds in Q1, 0.350 seconds in Q2 and 0.148 seconds in Q3.

Oscar Piastri nevertheless recorded the second-fastest middle sector in Q3 with a 38.376.

McLaren’s main losses came in the first and third sectors rather than the technical middle section, where its performance was more competitive.

Lando Norris also had a theoretical best lap 0.057 seconds faster than the actual completed Q3 time, indicating that the McLaren driver did not combine all the strongest sectors on the same attempt.

Pierre Gasly leads the midfield as both Racing Bulls reach Q3

Outside the four leading teams, Pierre Gasly produced the strongest performance, qualifying eighth with a 1:32.225.

The Alpine driver finished 0.852 seconds behind pole and improved by 0.377 seconds compared with the Q2 time.

Racing Bulls managed to get both cars into Q3, with Liam Lawson ninth and Arvid Lindblad tenth.

However, Liam Lawson and Arvid Lindblad were the only two Q3 participants whose fastest times were slower than their respective Q2 benchmarks.

Liam Lawson was 0.050 seconds slower, while Arvid Lindblad lost 0.283 seconds.

Both drivers began Q3 on previously used Soft tyres, but switching to a fresh set for their second attempts did not produce an improvement.

Singapore qualifying midfield: One second separates the Q2 eliminations

The midfield battle was also extremely competitive, with the six drivers eliminated in Q2 separated by approximately one second.

Their times ranged from Nico Hülkenberg’s 1:32.784 to Franco Colapinto’s 1:33.787.

Aston Martin lost both cars in Q1, with Fernando Alonso qualifying 17th after missing the cut by just 0.054 seconds and Lance Stroll finishing 19th.

Williams managed to get one car through to Q2, with Carlos Sainz qualifying 14th, while Alexander Albon finished 18th.

Cadillac occupied the final two positions among the drivers who recorded qualifying times. Sergio Pérez was 20th and Valtteri Bottas 21st, finishing 2.694 and 3.555 seconds respectively behind the fastest Q1 time.

Ferrari’s Singapore qualifying numbers reveal a missed pole opportunity

For Ferrari, the most significant conclusion from Singapore qualifying is that the SF-26 had the pace to challenge Max Verstappen for pole position, even if neither driver ultimately secured the fastest lap.

Charles Leclerc finished just 0.054 seconds behind the Red Bull driver after a substantial improvement in Q3, while Lewis Hamilton demonstrated enough sector performance to produce a theoretical lap faster than pole.

The numbers also show why Max Verstappen prevailed. Red Bull’s strength in the first and third sectors compensated for Ferrari’s advantage through the middle of the circuit, allowing the Dutchman to establish the decisive benchmark on the first Q3 attempt.

Ferrari will nevertheless start the Singapore Grand Prix with both cars immediately behind Max Verstappen. With Charles Leclerc second and Lewis Hamilton third, the team has two drivers in a position to challenge for the lead at Marina Bay, where track position and race execution could prove just as important as the narrow qualifying gaps.

Oct 10, 2026Elena Rossi
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Lewis Hamilton confident Ferrari's two-car attack could trouble Max Verstappen at Marina Bay

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Elena Rossi

Elena Rossi is a ScuderiaFans editorial byline focused on Ferrari’s drivers, team developments and the stories behind the results. Her coverage follows the challenges, decisions and personalities shaping the Scuderia’s Formula 1 season.

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