The Formula 1 paddock heads to the legendary Spa-Francorchamps circuit for one of the most anticipated weekends of the 2026 season. Ferrari arrives in Belgium full of confidence after victories in Barcelona and Silverstone, while Mercedes continues to be regarded as the benchmark on power-sensitive circuits.
Can Charles Leclerc continue his winning momentum? Will Lewis Hamilton add another victory in Ferrari colours? Or will Mercedes once again prove too strong on one of the fastest and most demanding tracks on the Formula 1 calendar?
The Scuderia Fans editorial team has made its predictions for the Belgian Grand Prix, with every writer offering a different perspective on qualifying, the race and Ferrari’s chances of continuing its impressive run of form.
Alex Marino
Pole position: Charles Leclerc
“Spa has always brought out something special in Charles Leclerc. His confidence at this circuit is undeniable, and Ferrari’s recent aerodynamic improvements could be enough to offset part of the power unit deficit over a single lap. If the temperatures remain cool, I believe Charles Leclerc will produce another exceptional qualifying performance and secure pole position.”
Race prediction: Charles Leclerc – George Russell – Lewis Hamilton
“Mercedes will be extremely competitive over race distance, but Ferrari has already surprised everyone twice this season. If Charles Leclerc controls the pace from the front and manages the battery deployment perfectly, I think he can convert pole into victory. Lewis Hamilton will complete another strong weekend by joining him on the podium.”
David Carter
Pole position: George Russell
“Spa still rewards outright power and efficiency, two areas where Mercedes appears to have a slight advantage. George Russell has consistently delivered in qualifying throughout the season, and I expect him to edge out both Ferraris on Saturday.”
Race prediction: George Russell – Charles Leclerc – Andrea Kimi Antonelli
“Ferrari will be much closer than many expect, particularly through the middle sector, but Mercedes should still have just enough pace over an entire race distance. Charles Leclerc will push George Russell all the way to the chequered flag, while Andrea Kimi Antonelli returns to the podium after a difficult Silverstone.”
Elena Rossi
Pole position: Lewis Hamilton
“Lewis Hamilton seems to have completely transformed his relationship with the SF-26 over the last few races. His understanding of Ferrari’s new energy management philosophy has improved enormously, and Spa is exactly the kind of circuit where his experience can make the difference over a single qualifying lap.”
Race prediction: Lewis Hamilton – Charles Leclerc – George Russell
“This could finally be the weekend where Lewis Hamilton delivers a complete Ferrari performance by taking both pole and victory. Charles Leclerc will once again demonstrate why Ferrari arguably has the strongest driver pairing on the grid, securing another double podium for the Scuderia.”
Luca Marini
Pole position: Andrea Kimi Antonelli
“Mercedes remains the reference over one lap, and Andrea Kimi Antonelli has repeatedly shown exceptional qualifying pace throughout 2026. Spa should suit the Mercedes package perfectly, making him my favourite for pole.”
Race prediction: Charles Leclerc – Lewis Hamilton – Andrea Kimi Antonelli
“Ferrari has quietly become one of the most complete cars through medium and high-speed corners. If the forecasted rain arrives on Sunday, that balance could become an even bigger advantage. Charles Leclerc has rediscovered complete confidence in the SF-26, while Lewis Hamilton’s tyre management should help Ferrari secure a memorable one-two finish.”
Maria Lombardi
Pole position: Charles Leclerc
“Cooler temperatures and Ferrari’s improved aerodynamic efficiency could suit Charles Leclerc perfectly. Spa is one of those circuits where confidence behind the wheel makes a huge difference, and after Silverstone he arrives with all the momentum on his side.”
Race prediction: Lewis Hamilton – George Russell – Charles Leclerc
“Much of the attention is currently on Charles Leclerc following his Silverstone victory, but I believe Lewis Hamilton could quietly produce his finest Ferrari weekend so far. If the race becomes unpredictable because of changing weather, his experience could prove decisive.”
Sofia Bianchi
Pole position: Lewis Hamilton
“Lewis Hamilton has looked increasingly comfortable with Ferrari’s latest upgrades, and Spa rewards drivers who know exactly how to manage changing grip levels and energy deployment. I think he has everything needed to secure another spectacular pole position.”
Race prediction: George Russell – Lewis Hamilton – Charles Leclerc
“On paper, Spa still slightly favours Mercedes, so George Russell starts the weekend as my favourite for victory. That said, Ferrari has reduced the gap dramatically over recent races. Lewis Hamilton and Charles Leclerc should both fight for the podium once again and keep Ferrari firmly in the championship conversation heading into the second half of the season.”
Belgian GP predictions FAQ
Who are the favourites for the Belgian GP?
Ferrari and Mercedes enter Spa as the leading contenders, with Charles Leclerc, Lewis Hamilton, George Russell and Andrea Kimi Antonelli expected to fight for victory.
Can Ferrari win at Spa?
After victories in Barcelona and Silverstone, Ferrari appears capable of challenging Mercedes despite Spa’s long straights.
Who is favourite for pole position?
Our writers are split between Charles Leclerc, Lewis Hamilton, George Russell and Andrea Kimi Antonelli.
What do you think?
Do you agree with our writers’ predictions? Can Ferrari continue its impressive momentum after victories in Barcelona and Silverstone, or will Mercedes bounce back at one of its strongest circuits? Let us know your predictions for qualifying and the race in the comments below.
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