
Juan Pablo Montoya has dramatically revised his expectations for Lewis Hamilton’s Formula 1 retirement, with the seven-time Grand Prix winner now believing the Ferrari driver could remain on the grid for another two or three years following his resurgence in the 2026 championship fight.
That assessment represents a significant change from Montoya’s position during Hamilton’s difficult first season at Maranello. At the height of the Briton’s struggles last year, questions surrounded how long the seven-time world champion would be prepared to continue racing if his performances and results failed to improve. Montoya himself had previously suggested that Hamilton could retire at the end of either 2026 or 2027.
The picture has changed considerably this season. After spending a full year involved in the development of Ferrari’s 2026 Formula 1 car and then using the winter break to reset, Hamilton arrived at pre-season testing looking revitalised. The 41-year-old quickly established himself as a genuine contender and has subsequently put himself back into the championship conversation.
Juan Pablo Montoya changes Lewis Hamilton retirement prediction
Hamilton enters the next phase of the season 50 points behind championship leader Kimi Antonelli, meaning the Briton remains firmly in contention for what would be a record eighth Formula 1 drivers’ title. It is his first genuine championship challenge since the dramatic 2021 campaign and has inevitably altered perceptions of how much longer his career could continue.
Montoya now expects Hamilton to remain in Formula 1 for at least another two or three seasons. The Colombian argued that, provided Ferrari continues on its present trajectory and Hamilton maintains his current level of performance, there would be little reason for the British driver to retire.
The prospect of Hamilton extending his stay at Maranello would also add another dimension to Ferrari’s longer-term driver planning. With the Scuderia already balancing its immediate championship ambitions against decisions concerning the next generation, the timing of Hamilton’s eventual departure could have consequences well beyond the current title battle. His strong form after the summer break has already strengthened the discussion around Ferrari’s approach to Lewis Hamilton in the 2026 championship fight.
Hamilton’s Ferrari future could affect Oliver Bearman and Rafael Câmara
Montoya believes a longer Hamilton career could create a particular problem for Ferrari’s emerging drivers. In his view, keeping the seven-time world champion for another two or three years would leave enough time for the hierarchy among the Scuderia’s future candidates to change significantly.
He used Rafael Câmara as an example, suggesting that if Câmara reaches Formula 1 and becomes a more attractive option for Ferrari at that particular moment, Oliver Bearman could find his expected route back to Maranello blocked. Montoya’s broader point was that opportunities at Formula 1’s biggest teams are heavily dependent on timing and on how highly a driver is regarded when a seat actually becomes available.
That issue is particularly relevant to Bearman. The Haas driver has long been regarded as a potential future Ferrari race driver after making his Formula 1 debut for the Scuderia in 2024. Hamilton’s resurgence, however, potentially changes the timeframe surrounding that opportunity.
Bearman has consequently been encouraged to consider alternatives rather than simply waiting for a Ferrari vacancy. Red Bull has reportedly emerged as a possible destination should the young driver become impatient over his prospects of securing a Maranello seat.
Ferrari resurgence changes the equation for Hamilton
One possible opening for Bearman at Red Bull could depend on Max Verstappen. If the Dutchman eventually completes his much-discussed departure from the Milton Keynes team, a vacancy could potentially emerge that would offer Bearman another route towards a front-running Formula 1 seat.
For Hamilton, meanwhile, the immediate priority remains very different. Rather than approaching the closing stages of his career amid questions over whether he can still compete at the highest level, the Briton is involved in a championship battle with Antonelli. Ferrari’s own expectations also remain demanding, with Frédéric Vasseur making clear in his mid-season assessment that the team is not satisfied simply with the progress already achieved.
The championship gap nevertheless leaves Hamilton with work to do. His 50-point deficit means the second half of the campaign will be crucial if he is to convert his return to contention into an eighth crown. The points already lost during the season have highlighted just how narrow the margins can become in a title fight, particularly given the cost of several missed opportunities in Hamilton’s 2026 campaign.
What has already changed is the discussion surrounding his longer-term future. A year ago, Montoya was contemplating whether Hamilton might be approaching the end of his Formula 1 career. Now, the former Williams and McLaren driver believes the seven-time world champion’s performances could keep him at Ferrari for several more seasons — potentially forcing the Scuderia’s younger prospects to reconsider how long they are prepared to wait.







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