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Home » Former F1 winner predicts Lewis Hamilton could shift Ferrari dynamics with Monaco result

Former F1 winner predicts Lewis Hamilton could shift Ferrari dynamics with Monaco result. Charles Leclerc faces Monaco pressure test after Ferrari contract extension.

Lewis Hamilton, Ferrari SF-26, garage, 2026 F1

Lewis Hamilton backed to seize crucial advantage over Charles Leclerc as Ferrari enters Monaco as favourites

With Ferrari arriving in Monaco carrying the weight of expectation, former Formula 1 race winner Juan Pablo Montoya believes this weekend could provide Lewis Hamilton with a major opportunity to establish psychological momentum over teammate Charles Leclerc.

The Italian team heads into the Monaco Grand Prix as the benchmark outfit in the Formula 1 paddock, with the Ferrari SF-26 proving exceptionally competitive in low-speed and medium-speed corners. The unique characteristics of the Monte Carlo street circuit appear perfectly suited to the strengths of Ferrari’s latest challenger, leading many observers to predict that the Scuderia could finally convert its impressive pace into a dominant result.

As a consequence, much of the pre-race discussion has centred around an intriguing internal battle. On one side stands Lewis Hamilton, who continues to adapt to life at Ferrari and is chasing his first Grand Prix victory in red. On the other is Charles Leclerc, the hometown hero whose outstanding record around the streets of Monaco has earned him a reputation as one of the circuit’s true specialists.

Juan Pablo Montoya sees Monaco as a pivotal moment for Lewis Hamilton

Speaking during F1TV’s Monaco Grand Prix coverage, Juan Pablo Montoya suggested that Lewis Hamilton arrives at the Principality in an ideal position to challenge Charles Leclerc directly and potentially shift the balance within Ferrari.

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The former Williams and McLaren driver pointed to Lewis Hamilton’s recent performances on street circuits as evidence that the seven-time Formula 1 World Champion could be building momentum at exactly the right time. According to Juan Pablo Montoya, the circumstances surrounding Charles Leclerc’s recently announced Ferrari contract extension could make the weekend even more significant.

Juan Pablo Montoya explained that Lewis Hamilton had moved from one strong street-circuit performance to another venue where experience and confidence play a major role. He suggested that defeating Charles Leclerc in Monaco, particularly so soon after the Monegasque driver’s long-term commitment to Ferrari had been made public, could create additional pressure within the team dynamic.

The Colombian also indicated that contract negotiations are often completed long before official announcements are made. In his view, if Charles Leclerc were to struggle during the first race weekend following confirmation of his new deal while Lewis Hamilton delivered a superior result, it could have a meaningful psychological impact.

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Juan Pablo Montoya argued that such an outcome would represent a significant mental setback because expectations surrounding Charles Leclerc in Monaco are exceptionally high. While acknowledging the Monegasque driver’s remarkable record at his home circuit, he also reminded fans that Charles Leclerc is competing alongside one of the most successful drivers in Formula 1 history. In his assessment, it would be dangerous to underestimate Lewis Hamilton’s ability to challenge for victory on a circuit where precision, experience and racecraft are crucial.

Jolyon Palmer believes Charles Leclerc can quickly bounce back

Former Formula 1 driver and current analyst Jolyon Palmer also shared his thoughts on Charles Leclerc’s prospects heading into the Monaco Grand Prix.

While Charles Leclerc endured a disappointing and uncharacteristically difficult weekend in Canada, Jolyon Palmer believes the Ferrari driver has every reason to approach Monaco with confidence. The British analyst suggested that Charles Leclerc should focus on the positive news surrounding his long-term Ferrari future rather than dwelling on recent setbacks.

Jolyon Palmer highlighted Charles Leclerc’s exceptional record around the streets of Monte Carlo, describing him as arguably the strongest performer on the current Formula 1 grid at this particular venue. The statistics support that view, with Charles Leclerc consistently demonstrating extraordinary speed during Monaco qualifying sessions and regularly extracting more performance from his Ferrari than many believed possible.

Over the years, Charles Leclerc has established himself as one of the fastest drivers ever to tackle the famous street circuit. Multiple pole positions, near-perfect qualifying laps and several standout performances have reinforced his reputation as a Monaco specialist.

Jolyon Palmer noted that even during seasons when Ferrari lacked the outright pace to challenge consistently at the front, Charles Leclerc still managed to produce exceptional performances around Monaco. According to the former Renault driver, the circuit naturally complements Charles Leclerc’s aggressive driving style and his preference for a responsive front end.

That combination is particularly effective in Monaco, where drivers must attack relentlessly while operating millimetres from the barriers. Jolyon Palmer explained that Charles Leclerc’s willingness to push the car to its limits has often allowed him to unlock performance that others struggle to find.

Growing up in Monaco has also provided Charles Leclerc with an intimate understanding of the circuit’s nuances. However, Jolyon Palmer believes the Ferrari driver’s success cannot simply be attributed to local knowledge. Instead, he argued that Charles Leclerc possesses a natural feel for the track and a driving style uniquely suited to the demands of Formula 1’s most challenging street circuit.

With Ferrari entering the Monaco Grand Prix as favourites and both Lewis Hamilton and Charles Leclerc targeting a crucial victory, the battle between the Scuderia teammates could become one of the defining stories of the weekend. Whether Lewis Hamilton can capitalize on Ferrari’s strong form or Charles Leclerc can once again demonstrate his mastery of Monaco remains one of the most fascinating questions heading into race day.

Jun 5, 2026Elena Rossi
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Elena Rossi

Elena Rossi is a ScuderiaFans editorial byline focused on Ferrari’s drivers, team developments and the stories behind the results. Her coverage follows the challenges, decisions and personalities shaping the Scuderia’s Formula 1 season.

4 months ago 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix, Lewis Hamilton, News2026 Formula 1 season, Jolyon Palmer, Juan Pablo Montoya, Lewis Hamilton, Monaco GP, Scuderia Ferrari59
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