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Home » Ferrari Spanish GP qualifying analysis: what stopped SF-26 from taking pole

Ferrari Spanish GP qualifying analysis: what stopped SF-26 from taking pole

Lewis Hamilton, Ferrari SF-26, garage, 2026 F1

Lando Norris emerged at precisely the right moment to take Spanish Grand Prix pole position in Madrid, denying Ferrari after Lewis Hamilton and Charles Leclerc had threatened to put the SF-26 much closer to the front. The McLaren driver had remained relatively quiet throughout the weekend, but produced his best performance on the decisive Q3 lap to beat Kimi Antonelli by just 0.011 seconds.

For Ferrari, the outcome was almost the opposite. The Scuderia had briefly believed pole position was possible, only for the final attempts to leave Lewis Hamilton fourth and Charles Leclerc fifth. Yet those grid positions may not prove decisive on Sunday, because tyre degradation and the still-unknown strategic demands of the new Madring circuit could completely alter the race.

Lando Norris appears when it matters most in Madrid

The first qualifying session at the Madring carried some similarities to Monaco and Singapore, and not simply because of the barriers sitting close to the white lines. As often happens on freshly laid asphalt, the circuit evolved continuously and rapidly throughout qualifying, with lap times falling as more rubber went down and drivers gained confidence.

That made the final flying lap in Q3 particularly important. It was only at that stage that Lando Norris truly emerged as the leading contender, despite McLaren having looked relatively subdued during free practice. The world champion had also lost almost the entire Friday afternoon session because of a gearbox problem, reducing the amount of preparation available before qualifying.

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“I had a clear idea of what I wanted to do,” Lando Norris explained, suggesting that he had effectively tested different parts of the lap beforehand before putting everything together when it mattered.

The McLaren driver said he was able to execute what he wanted, an indication of a car that was well balanced, predictable and capable of giving him confidence. Those qualities are particularly valuable between the walls of a street-style circuit, where confidence in the car can make the difference between attacking and leaving a margin.

The 0.011-second advantage over Kimi Antonelli was also helped by McLaren’s decision to send Lando Norris out third from last for the final attempt, allowing him to take advantage of almost the best possible track conditions as the asphalt continued to improve.

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McLaren takes third pole in four races

The Madrid result gives McLaren its third pole position in four Grands Prix. Monza was the exception, where the MCL40 was particularly limited by a lack of top-end speed, but the papaya car continues to look extremely competitive on circuits where aerodynamic load through the corners becomes more important.

McLaren is also running its high-downforce rear wing in Spain, a specification that first appeared at Zandvoort. The team has temporarily moved away from the flippable configuration used alongside its lower-downforce Monza wing, one of several contrasting technical choices made for the very different aerodynamic demands of the Madrid Grand Prix.

The main disappointment on the McLaren side remains Oscar Piastri. The Australian finished almost half a second away from the front, once again appearing to lack the same level of confidence and understanding with the current generation of Formula 1 cars.

Ferrari’s Spanish GP pole hope disappears at the last moment

Ferrari genuinely believed it had a chance, but the pole dream disappeared at the decisive moment. On the twisting Madring layout, the SF-26 returned to being much closer to the front and was not punished as severely by the straight-line speed weakness that had been so obvious at Monza.

However, with both Ferrari cars finishing less than two tenths from pole position, the disadvantage created by a shortage of Power Unit performance cannot simply be ignored. In the tightly compressed 2026 Formula 1 field, even a small horsepower deficit can cost several grid positions.

Lewis Hamilton experienced pole position briefly after going fastest on his opening Q3 attempt, reinforcing the impression that Ferrari had a genuine opportunity during the first Q3 runs. But the seven-time world champion was unable to reproduce the same relative performance on his final lap.

Lewis Hamilton made an error at the opening chicane, possibly influenced by tyres that he later described as feeling strange. It is difficult to know whether the tyres were truly the decisive factor, but it is also plausible that the preparation process on the out-lap was not completely successful, leaving the driver without the ideal tyre condition at the start of the flying lap.

Charles Leclerc will start immediately behind his team-mate, separated from Lewis Hamilton by only 0.006 seconds despite being unable to use Ferrari’s ADUO2 engine specification. The updated Power Unit remained unavailable following the Monza accident, adding another detail to a qualifying session in which Charles Leclerc finished only around 0.15 seconds from pole.

That result only increases Ferrari’s frustration. The SF-26 was capable of putting the pieces together over the weekend, but not quite at the moment when the final grid positions were decided.

Mercedes loses its Friday advantage

Kimi Antonelli will start alongside Lando Norris on the front row. Mercedes chose to send both of its drivers onto the circuit early for each Q3 attempt, reducing the risk of being caught out by a yellow flag but also sacrificing some of the advantage available from the rapidly improving track surface.

With only 0.011 seconds separating Kimi Antonelli from pole, that decision inevitably raises the question of whether later track conditions might have been enough to reverse the order.

Mercedes was nevertheless less imposing on Saturday than it had been on Friday. One possible explanation is that the W17 had less performance still to unlock from its initial baseline than some of its rivals. Even so, the final picture was relatively normal: Mercedes remained firmly in the fight at the front, although it could no longer exploit the same straight-line advantage that made the car so formidable at Monza.

The team also continues to compete without the upgrades it has been waiting for, but the W17 has remained close enough to challenge at the sharp end of the field.

Max Verstappen keeps Red Bull in the fight

Max Verstappen will line up behind Kimi Antonelli after once again keeping Red Bull close to the leading group, this time on a circuit that is technically more demanding and complex than Monza.

Red Bull made major progress compared with free practice, reinforcing the impression that the car can be extremely competitive when engineers and drivers manage to place it inside the correct operating window. Finding that window, however, remains particularly difficult.

Another limitation concerns Red Bull’s hybrid software. According to Max Verstappen, the system does not distribute energy correctly throughout the lap, leaving him short of electrical deployment in the final sector. That remains one of the factors complicating the team’s attempt to maximise performance consistently.

Alpine and Racing Bulls continue their midfield battle

The fight for fifth place in the Constructors’ Championship also continues. Alpine again showed that its late-summer upgrades have brought the team back into contention, this time with Franco Colapinto taking advantage of the improved package by producing an impressive lap in Q2.

The Argentine driver also got the better of Arvid Lindblad, the leading Racing Bulls representative on a weekend in which the team continues to wait for Liam Lawson’s return.

Tyre degradation could completely change the Spanish GP

Before the weekend, qualifying was expected to determine a large part of the final Spanish Grand Prix order because overtaking at the Madring looked likely to be difficult. That assumption is now less certain.

Free practice revealed significant thermal degradation on the rear axle, while visible graining also affected the front tyres. The asphalt provides so much initial grip that it can effectively grab at the tyre surface, contributing to the formation of graining and making tyre management increasingly important as a stint develops.

If those conditions continue during the race, the resulting differences in tyre performance could make overtaking easier than expected. It is also still unclear exactly how many pit stops will be required, meaning strategy remains one of the biggest unknowns heading into Sunday.

Teams have therefore made different decisions over which compounds to preserve. Lewis Hamilton, Charles Leclerc and Max Verstappen, for example, completed Q1 on medium tyres so they could save an additional fresh set of softs for the race.

That tyre choice could become particularly significant if degradation remains as severe as it appeared during practice. The Scuderia has already acknowledged that Madrid’s race could develop in a far less predictable way than qualifying suggests, especially if tyre wear creates larger pace differences or strategic opportunities.

With no previous Formula 1 race data from the Madring, nobody knows exactly what to expect. Teams will have to understand the changing conditions, discover how the tyres behave over longer stints and interpret the race in real time. Ferrari may have missed its best opportunity in qualifying, but if tyre degradation becomes the defining factor on Sunday, fourth and fifth on the grid may be far from the end of the story.

Sep 12, 2026Elena Rossi
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Elena Rossi

Elena Rossi is a ScuderiaFans editorial byline focused on Ferrari’s drivers, team developments and the stories behind the results. Her coverage follows the challenges, decisions and personalities shaping the Scuderia’s Formula 1 season.

21 days ago 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix, News2026 Formula 1 season, Ferrari SF-26, Madring0
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