Ferrari only needs 27 points to clinch the Constructors’ Championship in the 2025 FIA World Endurance Championship. In the Drivers’ standings, the trio of Pier Guidi, Antonio Giovinazzi, and Alessandro Calado has a lead to manage but cannot afford mistakes.
The season finale will take place in Bahrain, with the 8 Hours of Sakhir deciding the fate of both the Drivers’ and Constructors’ titles. Leading the championship with 204 points, Ferrari arrives in the Middle East aiming to complete an extraordinary season and close the loop after its victory at the 24 Hours of Le Mans.
Porsche sits second with 165 points and Cadillac third with 143, still holding a slim mathematical chance, but Ferrari enjoys a significant safety margin. WEC regulations for eight-hour races award 1.5 times the points of a six-hour event: 38 points for first place, 27 for second, 23 for third, 18 for fourth, 15 for fifth, 12 for sixth, 9 for seventh, 6 for eighth, 3 for ninth, 2 for tenth, plus 1 bonus point for pole position.
WEC – Ferrari Constructors’ title: 27 points for certainty
Given the current standings, the maximum points a rival could achieve is 65 (if they finish first and second). Porsche, in second place, could therefore reach a total of 230 points (165+65). This means Ferrari, with 204 points, needs at least 231 to secure the championship regardless of other results.
In practical terms, this translates to earning at least 27 points in Bahrain, which can be achieved in several ways:
- A second-place finish (27 points) without the pole position;
- A third-place finish (23 points) combined with ninth place (3 points) and the bonus point for pole (23+3+1 = 27);
- A third and an eighth place (23+6 = 29), which would also secure the title.
These calculations are based on AI-generated simulations considering all possible finishing combinations between Ferrari and Porsche within the top ten. Out of 3,780 hypothetical scenarios, 2,212 result in Ferrari clinching the Constructors’ title mathematically. In other words, in more than half of realistic cases, the Maranello team would emerge as champions, even if Porsche scores the maximum points available.
Conversely, if Ferrari scores fewer than 27 points, the title would remain open and depend on the results of the 963 LMDh cars. For example, a fourth and ninth place (18+3=21) could leave Porsche with the chance to surpass Ferrari with a one-two finish.
It is important to note that the Constructors’ points only count the two best cars per manufacturer. Therefore, the combined performance of the official #50 and sister #51 499P cars will be decisive. Even solid top-five finishes for both cars, without taking major risks, would be enough to close the season with the title in hand.
WEC – Ferrari Drivers’ championship: advantage for Pier Guidi, Giovinazzi, and Calado
On the Drivers’ side, the battle is slightly more open but still favors Ferrari. The #51 crew (Pier Guidi, Giovinazzi, and Calado) leads with 115 points, followed by the #83 crew (Kubica, Ye, and Hanson) with 102 points, and the #6 Porsche Penske Motorsport team (Estre, Vanthoor) close behind.
The points system is the same as for the Constructors’ Championship. For mathematical certainty, the #51 drivers must maintain a margin of at least 39 points over their closest rivals by the end of the race, including the bonus point for pole position.
Translated into scenarios, Pier Guidi and teammates can secure the title if:
- They win the race or finish second, regardless of other results;
- They finish third or fourth, provided the #83 crew does not win or gain more than 13 points advantage over #51;
- They secure pole position, which could make a crucial difference in a tight championship, given the significance of the bonus point in a seven-round season.
A top-three finish, even without a win, is sufficient in most cases. However, if Ferrari #51 fails to reach the podium, calculations become more complex: a podium for #83 or a win for Porsche #6 could reopen the championship fight.
Final act in Bahrain for a Ferrari ready for the title
The Sakhir circuit’s characteristics – abrasive surface and significant temperature variations – could favor Ferrari, which has shown excellent tyre management in 2025. The race pace of the updated 499P cars since Le Mans also seems better suited to the track layout compared to the German 963.
In summary, a solid top-three result is enough to secure both titles. At the same time, Ferrari cannot afford lapses in concentration: a retirement or double finish outside the top ten could reopen the championship battle.
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