Can Ferrari secure a win in the 2025 Formula 1 season? An in-depth look at their chances on upcoming tracks. Ferrari is still chasing its first win of the 2025 Formula 1 season.

As has been the case for the last 10 to 15 years, trying to identify which track might give Ferrari the opportunity to fight for victory has become an increasingly complex and unpredictable exercise. For fans of the Scuderia, the question has been the same every season: where, if anywhere, will the team be able to rise above the competition and bring home a long-awaited win?

Looking at the performance of the Ferrari SF-25 so far in the 2025 Formula 1 season, there have been a few signs of genuine competitiveness. The car has looked particularly strong on slow and technical circuits such as Monaco and Hungary. In Monaco, Ferrari appeared to have the pace to challenge at the very front, while in Budapest, Charles Leclerc was able to fight for something more than just a podium before issues during his third stint prevented him from achieving a stronger result. These glimpses suggested that the SF-25 has potential on tracks where raw power is less critical and driver skill through tight corners can make the difference.

Ferrari still winless, but some hope remains
Despite those promising weekends, Ferrari’s 2025 season has so far failed to deliver the result that both Charles Leclerc and Lewis Hamilton were dreaming of when the year began. Neither of the two drivers has managed to win a single race, leaving the team still searching for its first triumph. In contrast, Max Verstappen has already secured two victories, in Japan and at Imola, while George Russell took the win in Canada. This makes the hunger for success in Maranello even more pressing, as the team wants at least one race win before the season draws to a close, something that would carry symbolic weight for Ferrari and its fans worldwide.

If we focus exclusively on slow circuits, there are still reasons for optimism. The upcoming races in Baku and Singapore stand out as strong opportunities for Ferrari. Both street circuits place an emphasis on traction, precision, and handling, which play into the strengths of the SF-25. Historically, Charles Leclerc has always performed at a high level on these tracks, making them prime candidates for Ferrari’s breakthrough this year.

Still, even in these more favorable conditions, victory will not come easily. Ferrari will have to overcome fierce competition, particularly from McLaren, which has shown remarkable pace across a wide variety of circuits. Nonetheless, the podium finishes already achieved by Charles Leclerc in Jeddah, Spain, Austria, and Belgium—all third places—suggest that Ferrari could also be competitive on circuits that feature a mix of fast corners and long straights. This brings into play venues such as Monza, the home race for Ferrari, as well as Austin and Mexico, all of which could deliver unpredictable outcomes if circumstances fall into Ferrari’s favor, whether through strategy, weather, or safety cars.

On the other hand, there are circuits that appear less suited to Ferrari’s package. Zandvoort in the Netherlands, with its unpredictable coastal winds and fast, flowing layout, has historically been a difficult track for the team, with Ferrari never managing better than third since the race returned to the calendar. The Las Vegas Grand Prix, with its unique street circuit held under unusually cold conditions, also presents challenges that the SF-25 has struggled with in comparable situations. As for Qatar and Abu Dhabi, the combination of long straights and complex mixed layouts has not played to Ferrari’s strengths this season, making these races less likely candidates for success.

Much could depend on whether Ferrari manages to maximize the performance of the SF-25 with the introduction of its new suspension system, a technical development that has been highly anticipated in Maranello. If the update proves effective, it could give Charles Leclerc and Lewis Hamilton a stronger chance of fighting for victory at certain tracks. However, if the upgrade fails to deliver the expected gains, it is difficult to foresee a significant improvement compared to the first half of the season.

In summary, while Ferrari has shown flashes of competitiveness in 2025, the road to victory remains challenging. Tracks such as Baku and Singapore, and perhaps even Monza, Austin, or Mexico, provide the most realistic hopes for a breakthrough. Yet, unless the team can extract the maximum potential from its car and capitalize on external factors, Ferrari’s winless streak may continue, prolonging the frustration of its loyal fanbase.